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ESPERANZA BASE +2.20σ ESPERANZA BASE +2.20σ
Surface interpolated between 53 instruments — a model, not a measurementnormal 1951 – 1980

Documented record · well documented

Esperanza Base, Antarctic Peninsula

February peak daily maximum · Antarctica

Recorded18.3 °C
When6 February 2020
Source statuswell documenteddocumented, not modelled

Esperanza Base recorded 18.3 °C, verified by the World Meteorological Organization as the highest temperature measured on the Antarctic continental mainland.

Why a record is measured against the place

A number on its own says very little. 18.3 °C would be unremarkable in one climate and unthinkable in another. What makes a record matter is its distance from what that place, at that time of year, has historically produced — its own normal.

Not Normal expresses that distance in standard deviations (σ) from a thirty-year baseline. Two σ above normal is reached in roughly 1 year in 44 under the baseline climate; four σ above, roughly 1 year in 32,000.

Modelled demonstration series · not observed data

The same place on the field

Not Normal carries a modelled 75-year series for Esperanza Base, Antarctic Peninsula (February peak daily maximum) that demonstrates the reasoning above. It is synthesised from published climatology, not observed, and is kept apart from the documented record on this page.

See the modelled series →

The season here

February is high summer on the peninsula — the one time of year the northern tip can climb well above freezing.

Read more

What a sigma anomaly means · Return periods, explained

Other documented records

Open Esperanza Base on the field →
Open Esperanza Base on the field →