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CONINGSBY +4.20σ CONINGSBY +4.20σ
Surface interpolated between 53 instruments — a model, not a measurementnormal 1951 – 1980

Documented record · well documented

Coningsby, Lincolnshire

July peak daily maximum · United Kingdom

Recorded40.3 °C
When19 July 2022
Source statuswell documenteddocumented, not modelled

Coningsby reached 40.3 °C — the first time 40 °C was recorded anywhere in the United Kingdom.

Why a record is measured against the place

A number on its own says very little. 40.3 °C would be unremarkable in one climate and unthinkable in another. What makes a record matter is its distance from what that place, at that time of year, has historically produced — its own normal.

Not Normal expresses that distance in standard deviations (σ) from a thirty-year baseline. Two σ above normal is reached in roughly 1 year in 44 under the baseline climate; four σ above, roughly 1 year in 32,000.

Modelled demonstration series · not observed data

The same place on the field

Not Normal carries a modelled 75-year series for Coningsby, Lincolnshire (July peak daily maximum) that demonstrates the reasoning above. It is synthesised from published climatology, not observed, and is kept apart from the documented record on this page.

See the modelled series →

The season here

British summer peaks are short and plume-driven — hot air drawn north from Iberia for a day or two, not a season of heat.

Read more

What a sigma anomaly means · Return periods, explained

Other documented records

Open Coningsby on the field →
Open Coningsby on the field →