Rarest WorldNot Normal
← FieldNot·Normal
ZÜRICH +2.90σ ZÜRICH +2.90σ
Surface interpolated between 53 instruments — a model, not a measurementnormal 1951 – 1980

temperature · Switzerland

Zürich

Winter (Dec–Feb) mean temperature

Modelled demonstration series · not observed data

Modelled 20263.5 °Cnormal -0.3 °C
vs 1951–1980+2.90σ99.81th pct
vs 1991–2020+0.85σ80th pct
Return interval1 in 540 yearsagainst 1951–1980
In the seriesRank 11 of 76no new record
People1.5 millionrounded estimate

Zero is the number that matters here, not the anomaly. A winter mean this far above freezing means the rain-snow line spends the season above the valley floors, so precipitation runs off immediately instead of being stored as snow and released in spring. The reservoir was never a reservoir — it was a snowpack.

75 years, modelled

1960198020002020 5.6 -3.7
Grey: modelled annual values 1951–2025. Band: 1951–1980 mean ±1σ. Coloured: the modelled 2026 reading.

Same reading, two normals

NormalMeanσPctReturn
1951–1980-0.3 °C+2.90σ99.81th1 in 540 years
1991–20202.2 °C+0.85σ80th1 in 5.0 years

Today would rank 11 of 76 for highest value in the modelled series. Nothing about the reading changes between rows — only the yardstick.

The season here

A Swiss winter mean above freezing changes the precipitation type on the whole plateau — rain where snow used to fall.

Where this series comes from

MODELLED SERIES — not observed. Parameters set from published Zürich-Fluntern winter climatology. The 75 annual values are synthesised by the seeded generator.

Every number on this page comes from a modelled series: 75 annual values synthesised by a seeded generator from published climatological parameters for Zürich. It shows how anomaly reasoning works. It is not a measurement and must not be cited as one.

How to read σ

σ counts standard deviations from this place's own normal. The sigma guide · return periods.

More temperature stations

Open Zürich on the field →
Open Zürich on the field →