Rarest WorldNot Normal
← FieldNot·Normal
CHENNAI +2.10σ CHENNAI +2.10σ
Surface interpolated between 53 instruments — a model, not a measurementnormal 1951 – 1980

precipitation · India

Chennai, Tamil Nadu

October–December north-east monsoon total

Modelled demonstration series · not observed data

Modelled 20261346 mmnormal 800 mm
vs 1951–1980+2.10σ98th pct
vs 1991–2020+1.73σ96th pct
Return interval1 in 56 yearsagainst 1951–1980
In the seriesRank 6 of 76no new record
People11.5 millionrounded estimate

Chennai has run out of water and drowned within the same decade, which tells you the problem is storage and drainage rather than supply. A season this far above normal arrives on a city whose wetlands and flood plains have largely been built on. The water still goes where it always went; there are now houses there.

75 years, modelled

1960198020002020 1785 390
Grey: modelled annual values 1951–2025. Band: 1951–1980 mean ±1σ. Coloured: the modelled 2026 reading.

Same reading, two normals

NormalMeanσPctReturn
1951–1980800 mm+2.10σ98th1 in 56 years
1991–2020867 mm+1.73σ96th1 in 24 years

Today would rank 6 of 76 for highest value in the modelled series. Nothing about the reading changes between rows — only the yardstick.

The season here

Chennai is one of the few Indian cities that gets most of its rain from the retreating north-east monsoon rather than the south-west one.

Where this series comes from

MODELLED SERIES — not observed. Parameters set from published Chennai north-east monsoon climatology; lognormal transform applied. The 75 annual values are synthesised by the seeded generator.

Every number on this page comes from a modelled series: 75 annual values synthesised by a seeded generator from published climatological parameters for Chennai, Tamil Nadu. It shows how anomaly reasoning works. It is not a measurement and must not be cited as one.

How to read σ

σ counts standard deviations from this place's own normal. The sigma guide · return periods.

More precipitation stations

Open Chennai on the field →
Open Chennai on the field →