Rarest WorldNot Normal
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SOUTHERN OCEAN +1.70σ SOUTHERN OCEAN +1.70σ
Surface interpolated between 53 instruments — a model, not a measurementnormal 1951 – 1980

wave height · International waters

Southern Ocean, south of Tasmania

Annual peak significant wave height

Modelled demonstration series · not observed data

Modelled 202616.92 mnormal 14.20 m
vs 1951–1980+1.70σ96th pct
vs 1991–2020+1.90σ97th pct
Return interval1 in 22 yearsagainst 1951–1980
In the seriesRank 3 of 76no new record
Peopleno resident populationrounded estimate

This is the roughest water on the planet and the hardest to measure, which is why the record is short and patchy in reality. The swell generated here does not stay here: it propagates thousands of kilometres north and arrives on Pacific island coastlines as the long-period surge that overtops them on a calm, sunny day.

75 years, modelled

1960198020002020 17.88 11.49
Grey: modelled annual values 1951–2025. Band: 1951–1980 mean ±1σ. Coloured: the modelled 2026 reading.

Same reading, two normals

NormalMeanσPctReturn
1951–198014.20 m+1.70σ96th1 in 22 years
1991–202014.65 m+1.90σ97th1 in 35 years

Today would rank 3 of 76 for highest value in the modelled series. Nothing about the reading changes between rows — only the yardstick.

The season here

The Southern Ocean is the only place on Earth where wind and swell can circle the globe without ever meeting land.

Where this series comes from

MODELLED SERIES — not observed. Parameters set from published Southern Ocean buoy and altimeter wave climatology. The 75 annual values are synthesised by the seeded generator. Real observational coverage in this region is sparse and short.

Every number on this page comes from a modelled series: 75 annual values synthesised by a seeded generator from published climatological parameters for Southern Ocean, south of Tasmania. It shows how anomaly reasoning works. It is not a measurement and must not be cited as one.

How to read σ

σ counts standard deviations from this place's own normal. The sigma guide · return periods.

More wave height stations

Open Southern Ocean on the field →
Open Southern Ocean on the field →