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GULF OF ALASKA (BUOY 46001) −1.90σ GULF OF ALASKA (BUOY 46001) −1.90σ
Surface interpolated between 53 instruments — a model, not a measurementnormal 1951 – 1980

wave height · United States

Gulf of Alaska (buoy 46001)

Winter mean significant wave height

Modelled demonstration series · not observed data

Modelled 20263.23 mnormal 3.90 m
vs 1951–1980−1.90σ3rd pct
vs 1991–2020−1.30σ10th pct
Return interval1 in 35 yearsagainst 1951–1980
In the seriesRank 6 of 76no new record
Peopleno resident populationrounded estimate

A calm winter is still an anomaly. This one reflects a weak or displaced Aleutian Low, which changes where storms deliver their moisture along the whole North American west coast. Quiet water here often means a dry winter for someone a long way south, which is why the snowpack tiles are worth checking alongside it.

75 years, modelled

1960198020002020 4.64 2.67
Grey: modelled annual values 1951–2025. Band: 1951–1980 mean ±1σ. Coloured: the modelled 2026 reading.

Same reading, two normals

NormalMeanσPctReturn
1951–19803.90 m−1.90σ3rd1 in 35 years
1991–20203.90 m−1.30σ10th1 in 10 years

Today would rank 6 of 76 for lowest value in the modelled series. Nothing about the reading changes between rows — only the yardstick.

The season here

Winter wave height in the Gulf of Alaska tracks the position and strength of the Aleutian Low more than anything else.

Where this series comes from

MODELLED SERIES — not observed. Parameters set from published NDBC station 46001 winter wave climatology. The 75 annual values are synthesised by the seeded generator.

Every number on this page comes from a modelled series: 75 annual values synthesised by a seeded generator from published climatological parameters for Gulf of Alaska (buoy 46001). It shows how anomaly reasoning works. It is not a measurement and must not be cited as one.

How to read σ

σ counts standard deviations from this place's own normal. The sigma guide · return periods.

More wave height stations

Open Gulf of Alaska (buoy 46001) on the field →
Open Gulf of Alaska (buoy 46001) on the field →