Rarest WorldNot Normal
← FieldNot·Normal
HUNZA VALLEY −2.00σ HUNZA VALLEY −2.00σ
Surface interpolated between 53 instruments — a model, not a measurementnormal 1951 – 1980

snowpack · Pakistan

Hunza Valley, Gilgit-Baltistan

1 April snow water equivalent

Modelled demonstration series · not observed data

Modelled 2026170 mmnormal 390 mm
vs 1951–1980−2.00σ2nd pct
vs 1991–2020−2.14σ2nd pct
Return interval1 in 44 yearsagainst 1951–1980
In the seriesLowest of 76old record stood 33 yrs
People220 millionrounded estimate

The population figure on this tile is not the valley, it is the Indus basin downstream. Snow and ice melt from these mountains provides a large share of the river's flow in exactly the pre-monsoon months when there is no rain and the crop is in the ground. Very few places convert a snow measurement into that many people.

75 years, modelled

1960198020002020 863 170
Grey: modelled annual values 1951–2025. Band: 1951–1980 mean ±1σ. Coloured: the modelled 2026 reading.

Same reading, two normals

NormalMeanσPctReturn
1951–1980390 mm−2.00σ2nd1 in 44 years
1991–2020342 mm−2.14σ2nd1 in 62 years

Today would be the lowest value in the entire 75-year modelled series. Past the series' standing low of 195 mm (1993). Nothing about the reading changes between rows — only the yardstick.

The season here

The Karakoram is fed by winter westerlies rather than the summer monsoon, which is why its glaciers have behaved differently from the rest of High Asia.

Where this series comes from

MODELLED SERIES — not observed. Parameters set from published Karakoram winter snow-water-equivalent climatology; lognormal transform applied. The 75 annual values are synthesised by the seeded generator. Population is a rounded Indus-basin water-dependency estimate, not a local one.

Every number on this page comes from a modelled series: 75 annual values synthesised by a seeded generator from published climatological parameters for Hunza Valley, Gilgit-Baltistan. It shows how anomaly reasoning works. It is not a measurement and must not be cited as one.

How to read σ

σ counts standard deviations from this place's own normal. The sigma guide · return periods.

More snowpack stations

Open Hunza Valley on the field →
Open Hunza Valley on the field →