Rarest WorldNot Normal
← FieldNot·Normal
JACOBABAD +2.90σ JACOBABAD +2.90σ
Surface interpolated between 53 instruments — a model, not a measurementnormal 1951 – 1980

humidity · Pakistan

Jacobabad, Sindh

June peak wet-bulb temperature

Modelled demonstration series · not observed data

Modelled 202632.7 °Cnormal 30.1 °C
vs 1951–1980+2.90σ99.81th pct
vs 1991–2020+2.05σ98th pct
Return interval1 in 540 yearsagainst 1951–1980
In the seriesHighest of 76old record stood 11 yrs
People1 millionrounded estimate

Wet-bulb temperature is the number that decides whether a human being can survive outdoors. At 35 °C wet-bulb, a healthy person in the shade with unlimited water cannot shed heat and will die in hours. This station is one of a handful on Earth that has approached it, and this chart is the approach.

75 years, modelled

1960198020002020 32.7 28.0
Grey: modelled annual values 1951–2025. Band: 1951–1980 mean ±1σ. Coloured: the modelled 2026 reading.

Same reading, two normals

NormalMeanσPctReturn
1951–198030.1 °C+2.90σ99.81th1 in 540 years
1991–202030.7 °C+2.05σ98th1 in 50 years

Today would be the highest value in the entire 75-year modelled series. Past the series' standing high of 32.7 °C (2015). Nothing about the reading changes between rows — only the yardstick.

Documented real-world record · well documented

35 °C wet-bulb — 1987 and 2005 (brief exceedances)

Raymond, Matthews and Horton (2020) identified Jacobabad as one of very few stations worldwide to have briefly exceeded a 35 °C wet-bulb temperature — the theoretical limit of human survivability — decades earlier than models had projected.

Read the record →

The season here

Pre-monsoon June combines extreme heat with moisture advected from the Arabian Sea — the specific combination that produces high wet-bulb readings.

Where this series comes from

MODELLED SERIES — not observed. Parameters set from published Jacobabad June wet-bulb climatology. The 75 annual values are synthesised by the seeded generator. The real-world finding cited separately is documented and is NOT part of this modelled series.

Every number on this page comes from a modelled series: 75 annual values synthesised by a seeded generator from published climatological parameters for Jacobabad, Sindh. It shows how anomaly reasoning works. It is not a measurement and must not be cited as one.

How to read σ

σ counts standard deviations from this place's own normal. The sigma guide · return periods.

More humidity stations

Open Jacobabad on the field →
Open Jacobabad on the field →