Rarest WorldNot Normal
← FieldNot·Normal
BERING SEA −3.60σ BERING SEA −3.60σ
Surface interpolated between 53 instruments — a model, not a measurementnormal 1951 – 1980

sea ice · Arctic

Bering Sea

March maximum sea-ice extent

Modelled demonstration series · not observed data

Modelled 20260.42 million km²normal 0.85 million km²
vs 1951–1980−3.60σ0.016th pct
vs 1991–2020−1.13σ13th pct
Return interval1 in 6,300 yearsagainst 1951–1980
In the seriesRank 4 of 76no new record
People60,000rounded estimate

Winter ice here is a working surface: it is how coastal communities travel and hunt, and it is the wall that stops winter storms reaching the shoreline. Without it, villages that have stood for generations start losing metres of coast per year, and several are now formally planning relocation.

75 years, modelled

1960198020002020 1.14 0.32
Grey: modelled annual values 1951–2025. Band: 1951–1980 mean ±1σ. Coloured: the modelled 2026 reading.

Same reading, two normals

NormalMeanσPctReturn
1951–19800.85 million km²−3.60σ0.016th1 in 6,300 years
1991–20200.56 million km²−1.13σ13th1 in 7.8 years

Today would rank 4 of 76 for lowest value in the modelled series. Nothing about the reading changes between rows — only the yardstick.

The season here

Bering ice normally peaks in March. It is seasonal ice — it forms and vanishes every year — which makes it very sensitive to small changes.

Where this series comes from

MODELLED SERIES — not observed. Parameters set from published Bering Sea March maximum extent climatology. The 75 annual values are synthesised by the seeded generator.

Every number on this page comes from a modelled series: 75 annual values synthesised by a seeded generator from published climatological parameters for Bering Sea. It shows how anomaly reasoning works. It is not a measurement and must not be cited as one.

How to read σ

σ counts standard deviations from this place's own normal. The sigma guide · return periods.

More sea ice stations

Open Bering Sea on the field →
Open Bering Sea on the field →